Cancer genomes can be a very noisy source of data. It is estimated that an individual's tumour is caused by 5-10 driver mutations, but genome resequencing regularly reveals over 10,000 somatic mutations per tumour, with much larger numbers not unusual in hypermutated samples (we've seen samples with over 100,000 mutations each, the greatest being 178,763).
Across studies from different groups using different techniques, it is unclear whether these huge numbers reflect true hypermutation, substantial germline variation or technical artefacts. To try to improve the value of these data, we are beginning to define a cancer genome noise reduction strategy. Initially, we will exclude any sample with over 15,000 mutations, as this immediately introduces huge noise into COSMIC; these can be reintroduced at a later date.
In addition, we are removing all known SNPs from new genome uploads (initially, these are defined by the 1000 genomes project and a panel of normal (non-cancer) samples from Sanger CGP sequencing). Although these SNPs are excluded from the COSMIC website they are included in the data files available on our SFTP site and can be viewed by switching on the 'SNPs' track in the COSMIC Genome Browser. In the future, we will be assessing how to enhance these filters and best apply them to our curated genes.
Ultimately, we aim to identify the most significant high-value data within cancer genomes, making it much easier to identify actionable biomarkers.
The mutation impact filters introduced in COSMIC v73 have been derived from the new FATHMM-MKL algorithm. This algorithm predicts the functional, molecular and phenotypic consequences of protein missense variants using hidden Markov models.
More information about FATHMM-MKL is available here
The new method improves on the older version of FATHMM and now incorporates ENCODE annotation for its prediction. This method is as powerful as CADD scores for coding variants and shows improved prediction for non-coding variants (compared to GWAVA and CADD).
The functional scores for individual mutations from FATHMM-MKL are in the form of a single p-value, ranging from 0 to 1. Scores above 0.5 are deleterious, but in order to highlight the most significant data in COSMIC, only scores ≥ 0.7 are classified as 'Pathogenic'. Mutations are classed as 'Neutral' if the score is ≤ 0.5. In addition, each functional score is classified into 10 groups of features, depending on whether it is a coding or non-coding variant. Please see the original publication for more details regarding the feature classification (doi:10.1093/bioinformatics/btv009).
The following is reproduced from the publication in order to aid interpretation:
Description for each of the feature groups [A-J]
Please note: The current FATHMM-MKL algorithm is trained on the human gene mutation database (The HGMD database http://www.hgmd.cf.ac.uk/ac/index.php), which now also contains somatic variants. Results from the current available version of FATHMM-MKL can be used/has been used for somatic variants, but the user should be aware of the caveats. The cancer specific version of FATHMM-MKL is under development and when available these scores will be updated.
For Cancer Genome Project data (including the Cell Lines Project) copy number analysis was carried out using the Affymetrix SNP6.0 array in conjunction with a bespoke algorithm (PICNIC: Predicting Integral Copy Numbers In Cancer).
Where available, copy number data from TCGA and ICGC have been included in COSMIC (for samples already present in the database ie samples with mutations). All TCGA data included in COSMIC has been reanalysed using ASCAT.
We have introduced filtering thresholds to only display CNVs which are high level amplifications, homozygous deletions, or where there has been 'substantial loss' within an otherwise duplicated genome. We also use a higher threshold for amplification if genome duplication has occurred. We use average ploidy > 2.7 to define genome duplication.
Gene expression level 3 data has been downloaded from the publicly accessible TCGA portal. The platform codes currently used to produce the COSMIC gene expression values are: IlluminaHiSeq_RNASeqV2, IlluminaGA_RNASeqV2, IlluminaHiSeq_RNASeq, and IlluminaGA_RNASeq.
Please note that as from COSMIC v71 we no longer show results from the array platforms AgilentG4502A_07_2 and AgilentG4502A_07_3. By using only RNAseq data we can show more results. This is because disagreement between the array and RNAseq data was quite common and resulted in the exclusion of data (see 'Qualitative merging of results' below).
For the RNASeq platforms we used the .trimmed.annotated.gene.quantification.txt, files which contain Level 3 expression data and used RPKM as a method of quantifying gene expression from RNA sequencing data by normalizing for total read length and the number of sequencing reads.[https://wiki.nci.nih.gov/display/TCGA/RNASeq]
For the RNASeqV2 platforms, the files used were rsem.genes.normalized_results, which contain Level 3 expression data produced using MapSplice to do the alignment and RSEM to perform the quantitation. [https://wiki.nci.nih.gov/display/TCGA/RNASeq+Version+2]
We downloaded methylation data for TCGA studies from the ICGC portal that were produced using the Infinium HumanMethylation450 beadchip. Only TCGA studies were downloaded as they include normal samples which are used to predict differential methylation. For the statistical test to be valid only studies with > 19 normal samples were analysed.
GRCh37/Hg19 genomic coordinates were derived from the probe description file from illumina. We have used hgLiftOver to map these loci on to the new GRCh38/Hg38 genome assembly.
Details of the anaysis performed can be found in Alexandrov L.B et al., Nature. 22;500(7463):415-21 (2013)